Politics
 
Al-Qaeda in Deep Quagmire
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February 10, 2012
The assassination of Al-Qaeda supreme leader Osama Bin Laden tends to close its chapter of militancy and terrorism in Pakistan. The death of its top leadership has pushed the outfit in a deep quagmire, as the new leader Ayman Al-Zawahri is not deemed competent enough to lead the group. Besides, media reports have affirmed that Pakistan military operations and US drone strikes have mounted immense pressure on Al-Qaeda elements in Pakistan forcing them to look for safe havens in other countries, especially Middle Eastern and North African countries. Al-Qaeda leftovers have also realized that it is becoming riskier than ever to infiltrate and remain in Pakistan’s tribal areas where their security is under enormous peril and hence are gradually shifting their focus to somewhat safer bastions in Yemen, Libya and Somalia. More so, quiescent deportment of the outfit on Pakistan related issues is somewhat a lucid indication of its diverted focus.

The killing of the highly significant skipper not only delivered a big psychological blow to Al-Qaeda but had the worst practical impact on the group that had been operating tactically under his command for years. The terrorist network had already suffered heavy blows with the deaths and arrests of dozens of its top leaders that drastically perturbed the organization’s survivability and weakened its hierarchical command structure in the region. Resultantly, Al-Qaeda has lost its potency and relevance that has propelled the network in tatters. Since then, Al-Qaeda leaders tried to capitalize on the killing of Osama Bin Laden by provoking the masses against Pakistani security forces yet diminishing leadership and demoralized workforce could not materialize the plans of revenge attacks in the country or elsewhere in the world.

Triumphant security forces’ operations in tribal areas are one of the eminent reasons behind Al-Qaeda’s decline which not only brought exemplary defeat for its associates, but also forced them to vacate the area. Pakistani security agencies extended remarkable services to ensure the capture or killing of Al-Qaeda elements to dent the strength of the outfit in Pakistan. The organization’s ability to plan large scale operations has also crumbled as its main funding streams have been successfully disbanded. Pakistani forces’ crackdown on militants also helped in reducing cross-border militant infiltration from Afghanistan to the Pakistani tribal areas. In addition, locals in the tribal areas have strongly rejected the presence of Al-Qaeda operatives in their areas rather they overwhelmingly endorse the measures taken for the elimination of militancy. Hence, terrorists are facing major problems in recruiting Muslims youth. They are also confronted with immense financial crises since people have started to look at them as mere criminals and are no more willing to fund the terrorists’ activities on the pretext of so-called Jihad in Pakistan.


The indulgence of outfit in the trivial activities like abduction of insignificant and unconcerned persons yet again reflects its disconcerted state and incapability of new leadership. In fact, unlike Osama Bin Laden, Ayman Al-Zawahri doesn’t have the charisma and the vision to run the terrorist organization. It has also been learnt through several intelligence reports that Al-Qaeda foot soldiers are no more ready to abide by the instructions of new leadership since they also doubt the credibility and capability of Ayman Al Zawahri. The death of Anwar Awlaki has also served a severe blow to Al-Qaeda’s media campaign as he was considered as the only capable propagandist who played an imperative role in luring in Muslim youth through internet. Consequently, vivid decline in the ferocity of recruitment campaign of Al-Qaeda is quite perceptible.

Although, Al-Qaeda leadership is now focusing on other regions of the world, especially the Arab countries, it has very bleak chances to obtain any success in the near future. Since during revolutions in Arab counties, youth did not support Al-Qaeda’s campaigns against western domination but actually strived against the dictatorships in their own countries. This whole episode largely left Al-Qaeda on the sidelines even in the Arab countries where once it enjoyed a considerable support in the form of funds and recruits.

The fight against the most notorious terrorist organization appears to be advancing towards success in the region. The people in Pakistan now fully comprehend the conditions and circumstances in which Jihad becomes obligatory. The fast eroding public support and well-targeted operations by Pakistani security forces against Al-Qaeda’s few remnants in the tribal belt can surely help in the complete elimination of the terrorist outfit and guarantee a new era of peace and stability, not only in Pakistan but also in the entire South Asia region.

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