Here neo-cons have also set the war tunes as Ron Paul’s inimitable words, “lie their way into invading Iraq” set for Bush in 2003 may set for Obama to secure the upcoming 2012 presidential elections. One finds no WMDs. Whenever elections come in America, rhetoric comes to top triggering uneasy tensions with other states with tactfully measured political statements to secure the domestic audience. Surely, Obama is wise enough to not let the Republican ‘guards’ inch their way towards presidency. We cannot ward off the ‘efforts’ of Israeli lobby against Iran or leading US towards another ‘failed adventurism’ when more than 70% Jewish vote goes for Obama and their election financing also does matter. The US pro-Israel policies may give an impression that the US affairs are run in Tel Aviv.
Not only the US and Israel, the Arab sheikhdoms, the regional rivals of Iran, Saudi Arabia and UAE also fear the Iranian nuclear programme believing that it may trigger an arms race in the region which may jeopardize regional stability, security and economy.
Would it be easy for Iran to keep itself away from any provocation or it would go along the wind to match the US or Israeli ‘response’ with force? What are options for Iran in hand in this extreme ‘hostile environment’? What a state should do when it is surrounded by the adversaries and three of its borders have US fleets which are viewed as the “guards of Israel”. The Iranians are in no mood to believe the US, as it toppled the elected Mussadq government, supporting Saddam to invade their homeland and now playing some coercive measures to isolate it internationally through economic sanctions. Iran is witnessing cyber-attacks, air violations though drones and explosions at its installations which are adding fuel to fire.
We here also find some tactful moves by the Iranian president to align the Latin solidarity aimed at snubbing the coercive diplomacy of US and Tel Aviv’s wish to go along the US-imposed trade sanctions on Iran.
The alleged Iranian nuclear program is an eye-sour for the US desperate to strangulate it financially by isolating it from economic zones. Imagine the scenario if 17 bpd oil does not reach to the outside world after the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz? Is the US desperate to eliminate the Iranian nuclear installations to secure the existence of Israel?
China is the biggest Iranian oil importer which has not yet shown any inclination or issued a public statement to cut short its imports. The Chinese premier discussed it in Saudia, the arch rival of Iran, to seek some alternative oil routes to meet its energy needs. If it is true, then Iran surely would be worried about its encircling. It merits a mention here that Japan has refused to decrease oil imports on US pressure.
Russia has opposed oil sanctions and emphasized the need for finding a viable solution to the problem rather than adopting the path of confrontation. It is also of the same view as of Turkey to ask for new ‘Iran SIX’ talks to settle this issue. The Russian role along with Turkey and China can stop the ongoing confrontation from leading to ‘deadly consequences’. Turkey, a crucial Iranian neighbor and emerging influential Muslim economy, has decided not to stop its voluminous trade with Iran and its growing energy partnership. Pakistan too will continue its trade and is desperate to see the gas pipeline project functional.
Concluding the debate, the rhetoric on both sides needs to be toned down through multilateral talks or finding some ‘consensual’ way to save the region from a new ‘strategic jingoism’.