According to Iranian leadership, this war game is also a warning to foreign and extra-regional powers, making it clear that the region does not tolerate any country that seeks to pursue illegitimate interests in the neighborhood. In the meantime, the US has provocatively sent one of its biggest warships through the Strait of Hormuz amidst Iranian war-game taking place. Keeping in mind the regional strategic dynamics, capabilities of the Iranian and American navies, we can assume that it would be a strategic blunder for the United States of America to open a new front in the Persian Gulf.
However, any clash in this region will endanger the regional and international peace. Closure of Strait of Hormuz is not in the interest of Iran. It would give America a reason to unite world opinion against Iran and pressure will mount on Iran in case of any closure of this oil supply route.
It is advisable that Iran and United States of America must try to resolve this issue through negotiations instead of any military confrontation. United States of America will never attack Iran without any support of its Western allies like UK and France, and this time they won’t risk their already fragile economies while taking part in any military adventurism against Iran.
Iran has also demonstrated that it has the capability to shoot down American drones and aircraft. American fleet in the region is also in the range of Iranian missiles. United States of America will never risk its reputation against Iran, because winning a war against Iran will be tough for the US, when it is already plunged in the quagmire of Afghan war. It may gain some technical and strategic advantage in the initial phase of battle, but in the long run it cannot sustain burden of another war in this region.
Any attack on Iran will force Tehran to acquire nuclear deterrence and then it will be difficult for any country to stop Iran from that course. China and Russia have economic stakes in Iran; these countries won’t allow any stringent measures like sanctions or military action in the UNSC. As far as Israel is concerned, it can never risk its survivability by attacking Iran. We have already discussed this aspect in the previous article “Can Israel attack on Iran?”. In a nutshell, war of words between United States of America and Iran will continue in future.